Thursday, 17 March 2016

Demand

2.1 Demand
Demand refers to the quantities of a commodity that the consumers are able to and willing to buy at each possible price, during the given period of time, other things remaining same.

Elements of demand for a commodity
-        want for a commodity,
-        possession of money to satisfy the want 
-        willingness of consumer to spend money on that commodity.
So, demand can be defined as the desire to purchase a commodity, backed by sufficient buying power and intention to spend.

2.2 Determinants of demand
There are many economic, social and political factors which influence the demand for a commodity, like:  
a.     Price of the commodity: Price of commodities significantly influences the demand. As the price of a commodity changes, it causes an opposite change in the demand for the commodity. So, rise in price of a goods causes a decrease in its demand and vice versa. 
b.    Tastes and preference: Tastes and preference, like fashion, habits, advertisement, culture, etc. influence the demand for special product, quality etc..
c.     Price of Related Goods:  Demand for the commodity is also influenced by change in the price of related (complementary & substitute) goods.
(i)    Complementary goods: Some goods, are consumed together (e.g. car and petrol etc.), hence jointly demanded. Now if the price of the car rises, demand for car and petrol will simultaneously decline and vice versa. So, Price and demand of complementary goods are inversely related.
(ii)   Substitute goods: These are those goods which can replace each other (like petrol and diesel). If the price of petrol increases, its demand will decline resulting to a rise in demand for diesel (also known as ‘cross demand’). Thus, there is a direct relationship of price and substitute goods.
d.    Government policy: Government policy, (e.g. tax, import or export policy) influences the demand of a commodity. When government imposes tax on any commodity, its price rises resulting to decline in its demand.
e.     Size and density of population: Demand for commodity in densely populated area will be more compared to less populated areas. So, density of population has a direct relationship in influencing demand.
f.      Distribution of income and wealth: Demand for all the commodities is likely to be high in regions having equality of income and wealth than the regions where there is great inequality between economic conditions of people.
g.    Economic change: If a country is passing through a period of boom, there will be an increase in market demand. During the period of recession, the market demand will be on the lower side.

2.3 Law of demand
According to Marshall, The law of demand states that other things being equal, the demand increases with a fall in price and diminishes when price increases.

The term ‘other things being equal’ implies the prices of related goods, income of the consumers, their tastes and preferences etc. remain constant.  
2.3.1 Exceptions to the law of Demand
The Law of Demand does not apply in following cases:
i)      Conspicuous consumption: There are some goods like women’s hats) which are bought, not for their intrinsic worth, but for their “snob-appeal”. This are called “conspicuous consumption” or articles of ostentation. If prices of such goods rise, their use becomes more attractive and they are bought in larger quantities. If fish becomes more expensive, some people will buy more of it just to show their high status. On the other hand, when such goods become cheaper, they are bought less. For example, higher the price of diamonds, higher is the prestige value attached to them and hence higher is the demand for them.
ii)    Speculative markets: In the speculative markets, a rise of prices is frequently followed by larger purchases and a fall of prices by less purchases. When the price of a share rises, people hope further rise and rush to purchase. When price declines, they wait for further declines and stop purchasing. The same thing may happen for other commodities where purchases are made on speculative basis. But it is a short period event.
iii)   Giffen Goods: Giffen found that poor spent the major part of their income on potatoes (which were cheap) and a small part on meat (which were costlier). When the price of potatoes rose, they had to economise on meat. To fill up their daily requirement of food, more potatoes had to be bought. Thus increase in the price of potatoes led to increased sales of potatoes. This is known as the Giffen Effect. Normally found in the case of cheap necessary foodstuffs.
iv)   The income effect: The demand curve may be affected by the income effect. If the income effect is positive (i.e. income elasticity of demand exceeds zero) we can expect a downward sloping demand curve. But, if the income effect is negative, particularly in case of inferior good, the result may not be a downward sloping curve. If the total expenditure of the commodity is small, the income effect will have less implication on the demand curve and there will be an inverse relation between price and demand.
v)     Ignorance effect: Generally, it is assumed that a household has perfect knowledge about price and quality of goods. However, in practice, a household may demand larger quantity of a commodity even at a higher price because it may be ignorant of the lowest ruling price of the commodity.
vi)   Impulsive purchases: Impulsive purchases means ‘purchases by impression’. At times consumers tend to make impulsive, without any cool calculation about price and usefulness of the product e.g. chocolate, candy etc.
vii)  Insignificant portion of income to be spent on commodity: If a commodity occupies an insignificant portion in the total budget of the consumer, variations of its price may not cause change in demand for the commodity. In this case, real income is not changed significantly with change in price (E.g., salt, match boxes), so the curve is parallel to the price axis.

2.4 Demand Schedule
A Demand schedule may be defined as a list of the different quantities of a commodity which consumers purchase at different period of time, depicting the relation ship between quantities of the commodity demanded at different prices.
Types of Demand schedule
(i)     Individual Demand Schedule
(ii)    Market Demand schedule

a.Individual Demand schedule
 It refers to the different quantities of a given commodity which a consumer will buy at various prices

Example Data of Individual Demand Schedule
Price (Rs.)
Quantity Demanded
1
10
14
8
15
6
16
4
b.Market Demand schedule
Market demand schedule refers to the quantities of a given commodity which all consumer will buy at different price at a given moment of time
Example Data of Market Demand Schedule

Price (Rs.)
X’s Demand (1)
Y’s Demand (2)
Market Demand schedule (1 + 2)
1
4
15
4 + 15 = 19
2
3
14
3 + 14 =17
3
2
13
2 + 13 = 15
4
1
10
1 + 10 = 11
Market Demand Schedule exibits the total demand of all consumers in the market at different prices of the commodity.

2.5 Demand Curve    
Demand Curve is simply a graphic representation of demand schedule. It shows the relationship between different quantities demanded at different possible prices of the given commodity.

The Demand Curve shows the maximum quantities per unit of time that the consumers will take at various prices.

Types of Demand Curve
(i)    Individual Demand Curve: It is the graphic presentation of individual Demand schedule.
So, it shows different quantities of a commodity demanded by a consumer at different prices.
(ii)   Market Demand Curve: It is the graphic presentation of market demand schedule.
So market demand curve shows total quantities of a commodity demanded by all the consumers in the market at different prices.

Demand Curve Slopes
Inverse relationship between demand and price makes the demand curve negatively sloped. According to traditional theory of demand, the following factors are responsible for the negative slope of the demand curve:
(i)    Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility: The law of demand is based on the law of diminishing marginal utility which states that as the consumers buy more and more quantity of a commodity, the satisfaction obtained from each successive unit goes on diminishing. Consumer always attempts to maximize his satisfaction by equalizing the marginal utility of a commodity with its price.
So, the consumer will buy additional units only when the price declines. Therefore the demand curve slopes downward as the marginal utility curve also slopes downwards.
(ii)   New Consumers: After decline in commodity price, many consumers, unable to purchase earlier shall now start to buy the commodity, causing increase in demand of the commodity. So, there is an inverse relationship between demand and price, which causes the demand curve to slope downwards.
(iii)  Multiple use of commodity: Some commodities are put to several use (e.g. coal, electricity, etc.). When the prices of such commodities go up, they will be used only for essential purposes and their demand will be limited. Similarly, when their price decline, they are used for varied purposes for satisfying different demands. So, there is a inverse relation between demand and price which makes the demand curve slope downwards.

2.6 Change in Demand
The change in demand may be caused due to:
-         Expansion & contraction in demand
-         Increases & decreases in demand

2.6.1 Expansion & Contraction in Demand
When the demand rises due to the decline in its price, it is called Expansion in demand, but when the demand decreases due to the increase in its prices, it is called contraction in demand.
(i)    So, expansion or contraction refers to change in demand only due to the change in price, but not due to the change in other factors of demand, (other factors of demand should remain constant).
(ii)   The expansion or contraction in demand is also known as movement along the demand curve/change in the quantity demanded.

Shifting of demand: When due to change in factors other than price of the same commodity (like change in taste, Income etc.), the demand changes, the entire demand curve shifts either upwards or downwards. This is called a shifting of demands curve.

2.6.2 Increase & Decrease in Demand
Increase or decrease in demand due to change in any other factor, other than price, is called respectively ‘Increase in Demand ‘and’ Decrease in Demand.

Important causes for increase in demand
(i)    Increases in income of the consumer.
(ii)   Increases in price of substitute goods.
(iii)  Fall in price of complementary goods.
(iv)  Consumer preference shifts.
(v)   Price of the commodity is expected to increase in near future.
(vi)  Increase in number of consumers.

Important causes for decrease in demand
(i)    Fall in income
(ii)   Fall in price of substitute goods
(iii)  Rise in price of complementary goods.
(iv)  Shift in taste & preference.
(v)   Price of the commodity is expected to decrease in near future.
(vi)  Decrease in the number of consumers.

 2.6.3 Goods and its relationship with changes in demand
i)      Superior Goods: When the income of consumer increases, the demand for the superior goods also increases. Thus whole of the demand curve shifts right ward. In the opposite case, the demand of superior goods declines and the demand curve shifts leftward.
ii)    Inferior Goods: Demand for inferior goods rises with a decline in income. The whole of demand curve shifts right ward. The demand for inferior goods reduces with rise in income, causing the demand curve shift leftward.
iii)   Substitutes: In the case of substitutes (e.g. petrol & diesel), when the price of substitute declines, the demand of commodity also reduces and therefore the demand curve shifts leftward. In the opposite case, the demand of commodity rises and the demand curve shifts rightward.
iv) Complementary Goods: When the price of complementary goods (e.g. car & petrol) increases, the demand for the commodity declines and the demand curve shifts leftward. In the opposite case, i.e. when the price of complementary goods declines, the demand for commodity increases and therefore the demand curve shifts rightward. In case of rise in the price of complementary goods, demand curve shifts to left.
v. Substitution effect: Substitution effect means the change in the consumption or demand of two commodities as a result of their relative change in prices, the total utility remaining the same.
vi. Income effect: When price of a commodity changes, the real income of a consumer also undergo a change. Real income denotes consumer’s purchasing power. If price of a product decreases, the real income of a consumer rises and he purchase more units of the product. The demand curve slopes downward due to this income effect. This is called income effect for change in demand.


2.7 Elasticity of Demand
Elasticity of demand refers to the effect of quantity demanded of a commodity due to change in one of the variables on which demand depends (e.g. price of commodity, price of related goods, income level etc.).
Formula
Elasticity e = (% change in the quantity demanded) / (% Change in any one of the variables of Demand)
Types of Elasticity of Demand:
a.     Price elasticity
b.    Income elasticity
c.     Cross elasticity

2.8 Price Elasticity of Demand
Price elasticity of demand refers to the effect of quantity demanded of a commodity due to change in price of that commodity. It is expressed as percentage change in quantity demanded of a commodity, divided by percentage change in its price.
Formula:
Price Elasticity Ep = (% change in the quantity demanded)  / (% Change in price)
Symbolically, Ep = (∆q / ∆p) x (p/q), where Ep= Price Elasticity, P = Price, ∆q = Change in quantity, ∆p= Change in price.
Value
Price elasticity will be negative in case of normal goods, as there is negative relationship between demand of normal goods and its price. However, price elasticity will be positive in case of giffen goods, due to the positive relationship between demand of giffen goods and its price.

2.8.1 Measurement of Price Elasticity
Methods to measure the elasticity of demand:
a.     Total Outlay method,
b.    Point elasticity method,
c.     Arc elasticity method.

2.8.1.1 Total Outlay Method
(i)    Elasticity of Demand can also be defined in terms of the total outlay on the commodity.
(ii)   Let us assume a commodity demand changes exactly in proportion to the changes in price, as follows:
Price
Amount Purchased
Total Outlay
Re.2
2,400
Rs.4,800
Re.4
1,200
Rs.4,800
Re.6
800
Rs.4,800
Re.8
600
Rs.4,800
Re.12
400
Rs.4,800
(iii)  In this case we find that the total outlay of the consumers on the commodity remains the same, whatever the price may be.
-        The elasticity of demand is said to be unity.
-        If, when price falls, the total outlay on a commodity increases, the demand for it is called Elastic.
-        If, when price falls, the total outlay is reduced, the demand for it is called Inelastic.

2.8.1.2 Point Elasticity Method
(i)    In this method, elasticity at a given point on the demand curve is measured. Here we make use of derivatives, rather than finite changes in price and quantity.
(ii)   Thus it  is defined as:
EP = (-dq/dp) x (p/q)
Where, (-dq/dp) = derivative of quantity with respect to price at a point on the demand curve,
P= Price, Q = Quantity.
(iii)  Elasticity of demand is different on different points on the demand curve.
(iv)  Point elasticity can also be calculated as:
(Lower Segment on the demand curve)/(Upper Segment on the demand curve)
(v)   From the above given formula, the elasticity of demand at point P on the demand curve DD1 is PD1/PD.

    

2.8.1.3 Arc Elasticity  
(i)    It is an estimation of the average responsiveness to price change shown by a demand curve, over some finite stretch of the curve.
(ii)   Since averages are taken, we use {(p1+p2)}/2 rather than P, and {(q1+q2)}/2 rather than q.
(iii)  The formula for are elasticity is:
Ed = {(Change in quantity demand)/(Original quantity plus quantity after change)} / {(Change in price)/(Original price plus new price after change)}
(iv)  Symbolically, it can be expressed as ∆q / (q1+q2)
EP = ∆p / (p1+p2) = (∆q / ∆p) x {(p1 + p2) / (q1+q2)}

Where,
∆q
= Change in quantity

∆p
= Change in price

q1
= Marginal quantity

q2
= New quantity

p1
= Marginal price

p2
= new price









2.8.2 Determinants of Price Elasticity of Demand
There are many factors which affects the elasticity of demand for a commodity, like:
i)      Nature of commodity: The demand for a commodity depends entirely on its nature. In case of necessities, the demand is inelastic, as they are to be purchased even though their prices rise (e.g. food) on the other hand, the demand for luxuries is elastic (e.g. car). In case of luxury goods, if price increases, demand also decreases.
ii)    Number of uses: A commodity which serves a number of purposes will have an elastic demand (e.g. Milk, electricity, etc.), whereas a commodity whose use is restricted, the demand shall be inelastic (e.g. Bicycle). Decrease in price of goods having multiple use also brings significant increase in demand of that goods.
iii)   Substitute goods: Availability of substitute have significant impact on the degree of elasticity. The demand for a commodity having close substitute is elastic (e.g. coffee, cold drink etc.) whereas a commodity whose close substitutes are not available (like salt), the demand will be inelastic.
iv)   Future expectation about prices: If there is a prediction that price of a commodity is likely to rise in the near future, its demand shall become elastic in the present.
v)     Consumer habit: If the consumer is habitual of a certain commodity, he will definitely purchase it irrespective of its price, and the demand for such goods shall be in elastic (e.g. liquor etc.). In case of addictive goods, (e.g. cigarette), price increase cannot bring significant decrease in demand.
vi)   Possibility of postponement: If the demand for a particular commodity can be postponed for sometime, its demand will be elastic (e.g. VCR, Washing machine etc.). If price goes up, people try to postpone its purchase & its demand fall significantly. On the other hand, demand for foodgrains, medicines, etc, is inelastic as their consumption cannot be postponed.
vii)  Durability: In case of durable goods (e.g., a furniture), a change in price would not affect demand very much, because most of the consumers will not busy new piece of furniture until the old one is totally worn out. Therefore, durable goods usually have low elasticities of demand.
viii) Income level: People who have more purchasing power may not change quantity demanded even if price changes. On the other hand for poor people, demand is more sensitive to change in price.
ix)   Proportion of income to be spent on commodity: Commodities for which consumers spend a very less portion of income (like match boxes, salt) have very inelastic demand, as even substantial change in their price will not cause enough impact to his demand.

2.8.3 Degree of Price Elasticity of Demand
Types of Price Elasticity
i)      Perfectly Elastic:  When a small fall in price leads to infinitely large purchases, demand is said to be Infinitely Elastic or Perfectly Elastic (E = µ ).
ii)    Elastic: When a small fall in price leads to a large but a finite increase of purchases, demand is called Elastic (E< µ and >1).
iii)   Unitary Elastic: When a change of price causes an exactly proportional change of demand, demand is called Unitary Elastic (E = 1).
iv)   Inelastic:  When a fall of price reduces total outlay but not to zero, demand is Inelastic (E<1 and > 0).
v)     Perfectly Inelastic: When a change of price causes no change in the amount purchased, demand is said to be Infinitely Inelastic or Perfectly Inelastic (E = 0)




    
2.9 Income Elasticity of Demand
Income Elasticity of Demand (EI) measures the responsiveness of quantity demanded of a commodity, to a change in Consumers’ Income, when all other factors (Price of the Commodity, Substitutes, and Prices of Related Commodities) are constant.
Formula
(i)    EI = (% Change in Quantity Demanded / % Change in Consumers’ Income) = {(Change in Quantity) / (Original Quantity)} x 100 / {(Change in Income) / (Original Income)} x 100
= {(Change in Quantity) / (Original Quantity)} x {(Original Income) / (Change in Income)} = {(∆q/q) x (i/∆i)} = Symbolically, EI = (∆q/∆i) x (i/q)
Here, q = quantity, i = Income, ∆q = change in Quantity, ∆I = change in Income.
Value
Generally, Income Effect is positive, so Income Elasticity of Demand is also positive. However, there may be negative Income Elasticity in case of Inferior Goods.
Income Elasticity of Demand
Perfectly Inelastic
ei = 0
There is no impact of change in income on the demand of a commodity
Inelastic
0< ei<1
% Change in quantity demanded <% change in income
Unitary Elastic
ei = 1
% Change in quantity demanded = % Change in income.
Elastic
> ei>1
%  Change in quantity demanded > % change in income
Perfectly Elastic
ei = µ
Due to very small change in income, which tends to zero, the quantity demanded change substantially.
Value of Income Elasticity of Demand (ei) for different quality of goods
-          Inferior Goods                     :           ei < 0
-        Necessary Goods               :           0< ei<1
-        Luxury (superior) goods       :           ei < 1

Normal Goods
Increase in income and demand of normal goods have a positive relationship. So, increase in income will result in rise in demand of normal goods.

Fall in price of normal goods means increase in purchasing power of consumer. So, due to income effect, more normal goods are purchased. It has also substitution effect because in place of relative inferior goods, consumer starts to buy more normal goods.

2.10 Cross Elasticity of Demand
Cross elasticity refers to the effect on demand of a commodity due to change in the price of other goods (substitute or complementary).
Formula
Cross Elasticity EC= (% Change in the quantity demanded) / (% change in the Price of other commodity), or
EC = (∆qx / ∆py) x (py/qx)
Where,                                                                                                           
qx   =          Quantity demanded of commodity X,  ∆qx = Change in the quantity demanded of commodity X
py   =          Price of commodity Y, ∆py = Change in the price of commodity Y
Values
Positive cross elasticity of demand implies substitute goods : Tea & Coffee, Red Pencil & Blue Pencil, Coke & Pepsi etc.
Negative cross elasticity of demand exhibits complementary goods : Car & petrol, Tea & sugar, Pen & Ink etc.
‘Zero’ cross elasticity implies that goods are not related to each other.

Examples
(i)    If the quantity demand A increases by 10% when the price of B increases by 20%, the cross price elasticity of demand between X and Y will be:
EC of AB commodity = A = 10% / 20% = + 0.50. EC (+0.50) indicates that A and B are substitute goods.
(ii)   If the quantity demand of A increases by 10%, when the price of B decreases by 20%, the cross price elasticity of demand between A and B will be:
EC of AB commodity = %∆QA / %∆PB = 10% / 20% = -0.50 EC (-0.50) indicates that A and B are Complementary goods.

 2.11 Importance of Elasticity of Demand
The knowledge of elasticity of demand is significant in practical life:
i)      Utility in foreign trade: Government imposes a higher tax rates in case of goods having inelastic demand, and a lower tax rate for goods having elastic demand.
ii)    Utility in forecasting demand: It is possible to forecast the demand for a particular commodity by analyzing its elasticity.
iii)   Utility in price fixation: The concept of elasticity assists a monopolist in determining prices for his product. He will settle up a higher price in those markets where demand for his product is inelastic. Conversely, he will fix a lower price for the same product in some other market, where demand is elastic.